2020 Disunited States of America Election

[Enters Laughing]

For the Senate, FiveThirtyEight currently has:

a 84.74% chance of a Democrat gain (or flip as Americans seem to call them) in the Colorado election
a 80.575% of a Democrat gain in the Arizona special election
a 63.4025% of a Democrat gain in the North Carolina election
a 63.235% of a Democrat gain in the Georgia special election
a 59.3825% of a Democrat gain in the Maine election
a 53.9925% of a Democrat gain in the Iowa election

a 58.0375% chance of a Republican hold in the Georgia regular election
a 65.8225% chance of a Republican hold in the Montana regular election
a 75.0575% chance of a Republican hold in the Alaska election
a 76.0525% chance of a Republican hold in the Kansas election
a 77% chance of a Republican hold in the South Carolina election
a 85.82% chance of a Republican hold in the Mississippi election
a 86.07% chance of a Republican hold in the Texas election

a 81.04% chance of a Republican gain in the Alabama election

a 82.5525% chance of a Democrat hold in the Michigan election