Russian air supremacy in NATO territory? Not happening.Russia doesn't even need to go to war, only provide an air shield and supplies under the guise of humanitarian aid.
European countries aren't the ones defending Europe lol. Guess who does that?You say that I'm overestimating Russia / China / Turkey's strength; I'd say that you have unexamined assumptions about the defensive capabilities of European countries.
Last edited by xerxe; 06-20-2019 at 07:38 PM.
Bro, the NATO umbrella isn't guaranteed to last forever, and it's entirely possible that political forces within the United States will compel acquiescence to an isolationist foreign policy -- this is already a popular proposal among many Americans. The United States might have to contend with its own breakdown and could easily face a refugee crisis in its own hemisphere.
This means that Russia doesn't need to be some ultimate power, just stronger than its rivals on the continent.
Whatever outcome is had, my goal here isn't to craft some specific narrative of how this situation is going to play out -- we could invent a miraculous technology tomorrow for all I know. My point is that we need to get our act together so that we don't have to consider these pessimistic scenarios at all.