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Thread: leckysupport war and politics thread

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    More views on US Grand Strategy


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    And back to Niall Ferguson


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    Just Business: Captain James Staples on International Piracy

    http://www.carnegiecouncil.org/resou...io/data/000601

    Faith and Power: Religion and Politics in the Middle East

    http://www.carnegiecouncil.org/resou...io/data/000481

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    Quote Originally Posted by leckysupport View Post
    The Origins of Political Order: From Prehuman Times to the French Revolution

    For some reason I love this.

    http://www.carnegiecouncil.org/resou...eo/data/000391

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    John Campbell on Nigeria

    Annoying individual, although the general content isn't bad.


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    Grand Strategy with Charles Hill

    Some good ol' wisdom.



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  8. #48
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    David Simon Creator of The Wire:




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    US to 'defer military aid' to Pakistan

    http://english.aljazeera.net/news/as...415574792.html

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    Part 6 of The Ascent of Money - by Niall Ferguson

    Chinese-American relationship, globalisation, black-swans, foreign debt and possible war.


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    It's looking like they've just about whittled down Gaddafi. As soon as he leaves (or whatever), the U.S. will begin operations against Syria, its real target.

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    Quote Originally Posted by tcaudilllg View Post
    It's looking like they've just about whittled down Gaddafi. As soon as he leaves (or whatever), the U.S. will begin operations against Syria, its real target.
    What makes you so sure of this? If Syria is the real target, why has the US gone after Libya first?

    FYI, copied below is a popular theory as to Obama's decision to abstain from taking action over Syria.

    "the answer to why the (Obama) administration’s foreign policy decisions appear so crudely ad hoc may be much more straightforward: Obama has always been eager to follow a different path than George W. Bush, especially with Iran. While Bush did not hesitate to criticize Iran and argue for democracy across the Middle East, Obama has preferred instead to reach out to hostile regimes in an effort to cultivate diplomatic ties. Iran and Syria are joined at the hip — there has even been evidence that Iranian security forces are assisting Syrian troops in their crackdown against protesters. Tehran is clearly worried that it might lose one of its primary allies in the Middle East, and with it, easy access to its Hamas and Hezbollah proxies. Strong American action against Syria would enrage Iran — something Obama has already shown himself hesitant to do. "

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    Fun forecasting for everyone!!

    www.forecastingace.com
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    Mike Durant discusses the Battle of Mogadishu

    Durant tones down the management advise 20mins in.

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    Hah. You're like labcoat but instead of nuclear reactor disasters you post what you post.

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    Whatever approach Obama would like to take, the deteriorating economic situation will soon force his hand.

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    Quote Originally Posted by tcaudilllg View Post
    Whatever approach Obama would like to take, the deteriorating economic situation will soon force his hand.
    I'm sure this will happen sooner or later, although my bet is more on 'later'. The U.S political apparatus can't seem to make a proper decision on anything right now.
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    A Living Military System on the Verge of Annihilation

    http://www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc...f&AD=ADA381925

    The Frequency of Wars

    http://www2.warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/ec...1postprint.pdf

    Libyan rebels kitting up:

    http://www.theatlantic.com/infocus/2...rebels/100086/
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    What is the purpose of your thread?
    -
    Dual type (as per tcaudilllg)
    Enneagram 5 (wings either 4 or 6)?


    I'm constantly looking to align the real with the ideal.I've been more oriented toward being overly idealistic by expecting the real to match the ideal. My thinking side is dominent. The result is that sometimes I can be overly impersonal or self-centered in my approach, not being understanding of others in the process and simply thinking "you should do this" or "everyone should follor this rule"..."regardless of how they feel or where they're coming from"which just isn't a good attitude to have. It is a way, though, to give oneself an artificial sense of self-justification. LSE

    Best description of functions:
    http://socionicsstudy.blogspot.com/2...functions.html

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    Quote Originally Posted by Maritsa33 View Post
    What is the purpose of your thread?
    I would watch out if I were you, lecky is SEE.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Maritsa33 View Post
    What is the purpose of your thread?
    It is a place to post war and politics related material without clogging up the forum OAoK section.
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    Quote Originally Posted by leckysupport View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Maritsa33 View Post
    What is the purpose of your thread?
    It is a place to post war and politics related material without clogging up the forum OAoK section.
    Seems undigested.
    -
    Dual type (as per tcaudilllg)
    Enneagram 5 (wings either 4 or 6)?


    I'm constantly looking to align the real with the ideal.I've been more oriented toward being overly idealistic by expecting the real to match the ideal. My thinking side is dominent. The result is that sometimes I can be overly impersonal or self-centered in my approach, not being understanding of others in the process and simply thinking "you should do this" or "everyone should follor this rule"..."regardless of how they feel or where they're coming from"which just isn't a good attitude to have. It is a way, though, to give oneself an artificial sense of self-justification. LSE

    Best description of functions:
    http://socionicsstudy.blogspot.com/2...functions.html

  25. #65
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    Quote Originally Posted by Maritsa33 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by leckysupport View Post

    It is a place to post war and politics related material without clogging up the forum OAoK section.
    Seems undigested.
    It's displayed in a way that makes it difficult for anyone to say anything stupid about the subject matter. I'm going for more learning and less opinion.
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  26. #66
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    Quote Originally Posted by leckysupport View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Maritsa33 View Post

    Seems undigested.
    It's displayed in a way that makes it difficult for anyone to say anything stupid about the subject matter. I'm going for more learning and less opinion.

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    John Arquilla: Networks, Swarm and Netwar



    Some of his work on Swarming (I've only skimmed the second doc, so if it sucks, sorry):

    http://www.rand.org/pubs/documented_...RAND_DB311.pdf

    http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand...ND_RGSD189.pdf
    Last edited by leckysupport; 08-24-2011 at 06:00 PM.
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    Quote Originally Posted by leckysupport View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Maritsa33 View Post

    Seems undigested.
    It's displayed in a way that makes it difficult for anyone to say anything stupid about the subject matter. I'm going for more learning and less opinion.
    You've achieved your objective.
    -
    Dual type (as per tcaudilllg)
    Enneagram 5 (wings either 4 or 6)?


    I'm constantly looking to align the real with the ideal.I've been more oriented toward being overly idealistic by expecting the real to match the ideal. My thinking side is dominent. The result is that sometimes I can be overly impersonal or self-centered in my approach, not being understanding of others in the process and simply thinking "you should do this" or "everyone should follor this rule"..."regardless of how they feel or where they're coming from"which just isn't a good attitude to have. It is a way, though, to give oneself an artificial sense of self-justification. LSE

    Best description of functions:
    http://socionicsstudy.blogspot.com/2...functions.html

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    Dr. Ed Luttwak - Strategy: The Logic of Peace and War

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    The Leviathan’s New Clothes: Information and power relationships by Jack McDonald

    Authority, information, democratisation of violence, globalisation etc.

    http://kingsofwar.org.uk/2011/08/the...jack-mcdonald/

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    More Luttwak: Give War a Chance

    Luttwak is slowing becoming my favourite.

    http://www.mcgill.ca/files/familymed...r_a_Chance.pdf

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    "In the event that I am reincarnated, I would like to return as a deadly virus, in order to contribute something to solve overpopulation."

    Prince Philip, Duke of Edinburgh.

    Cluck.

    It has engaged in willful genocide against the nations and peoples of the sub-Sahara regions of East, West, and South Africa.

    WWF Change the way you think - YouTube

    Haha! Just a big joke.
    Last edited by Absurd; 09-20-2011 at 08:41 PM.

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    Criminal (Cartel & Gang) Insurgencies in Mexico and the Americas:What you need to know, not what you want to hear

    One issue: I think cycles of countermoves are inherent to conflict and are only eliminated when the enemy is defeated. Saying a problem with a strategy is that there are cycles of countermoves is to say the problem with a strategy is that you have a enemy.

    http://foreignaffairs.house.gov/112/bun091311.pdf
    Last edited by leckysupport; 09-21-2011 at 03:59 AM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by leckysupport View Post
    Thanks.

    I'm having great fun reading about the controversy mentioned in the article, as well as the the related controversies over sociobiology and group selection.

    For equal measure, here is an informative site and a documentary about the work of Napoleon Chagnon, who studied the violent Yanomami culture:

    - http://edge.org/conversation/napoleo...their-argument
    - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FtJjF31ovhA


    And here is an interview with Marshall Sahlins about his resignation from the NSA over its appointment of Chagnon:

    - http://www.counterpunch.org/2013/02/...y-of-sciences/

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    Humanist Beautiful sky's Avatar
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    Dual type (as per tcaudilllg)
    Enneagram 5 (wings either 4 or 6)?


    I'm constantly looking to align the real with the ideal.I've been more oriented toward being overly idealistic by expecting the real to match the ideal. My thinking side is dominent. The result is that sometimes I can be overly impersonal or self-centered in my approach, not being understanding of others in the process and simply thinking "you should do this" or "everyone should follor this rule"..."regardless of how they feel or where they're coming from"which just isn't a good attitude to have. It is a way, though, to give oneself an artificial sense of self-justification. LSE

    Best description of functions:
    http://socionicsstudy.blogspot.com/2...functions.html

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